This week in Texas, estimates put the number of people still missing from the Hill Country floods at more than 170, a daunting figure atop at least 120 deaths confirmed by authorities.
But that missing person tally might not be as precise as it seems.
Confusion and uncertainty can take hold after a shocking disaster and, despite best efforts by local authorities, it can be difficult to pin down how many people reported missing are actually unaccounted for. Some people on a list after in 2018 were later found to be OK the whole time. The death count in was 102, far below the 1,100 people initially feared missing.
In Texas, several hundred people were reported missing to officials in Kerr County after , said Freeman Martin, director of the Texas Department of Public Safety. Investigators whittled that number down by Tuesday after learning that some were counted twice and others were found alive.
“There’s nothing to celebrate about how well we’ve done this far, but there’s a lot of work to be done,†Martin said.
Authorities announced a for people to report missing friends or family.
“We need to keep an accurate count, as accurate as possible,†Jonathan Lamb of the Kerrville Police Department said in a plea to the public Wednesday. "So if you’ve reported somebody missing and they’ve been recovered safely, please let us know."
The flooding sent walls of water through Hill Country in the middle of the night, killing at least 27 campers and counselors at Camp Mystic, a along the Guadalupe River. More remain missing from that camp and elsewhere.
The search in 88-degree Fahrenheit heat (31 degrees Celsius) has been made harder by overturned cars, trees, mud and other debris left in the wake of the ferocious flood.
“We will not stop until every missing person is accounted for,†Gov. Greg Abbott said. “Know this also: There very likely could be more added to that list.â€
In 2017, more than in northern California. Sgt. Juan Valencia of the Sonoma County Sheriff's Office recalled that most of the 100 people initially reported missing to his agency were found safe.
Working through a list of names in a disaster is both meticulous and time-consuming work, he said.
“Put yourself in a family member’s shoes,†Valencia said. “They're concerned about their loved one. Are they really the victim of a disaster or did they maybe lose their cellphone? Basically you start calling temporary shelters, check family, friends. You check social media. That's how we were able to get a lot of those.â€
And he acknowledged that searching for victims of a water disaster poses distinct challenges.
“Sometimes you find them miles away,†Valencia said.
The 2018 Camp Fire in California ended up killing nearly 100 people, though Butte County investigators at one point had the names of more than 3,000 people who were not accounted for in the early days of the disaster, Sheriff Kory Honea said.
“They were published in our local paper, the Chico Enterprise-Record. Many people didn't know we were looking for them. That helped us start to whittle that list down," Honea said.
Abbott said Texas authorities were trying to learn more about people who were not registered at a camp or a hotel for the holiday and left no paper or digital trail in the Hill Country region. He had a firm message for anyone contacting police about a missing person.
“If you make a prank call or provide false information, that’s a crime. ... So you better be correct,†the governor said.
